US researcher Wei Da gives a threat assessment of potential hotspots in 2024, from the South China Sea to the Taiwan Strait, the Korean peninsula and the Ukraine war, with the China factor in mind.
Taiwan
Politics
Lianhe Zaobao journalist Miao Zong-Han notes that even if the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) stays in office after the upcoming presidential and legislative elections, it may be outnumbered in the Legislative Yuan. This would have implications for the advancement of cross-strait dialogue.
Politics
As the Taiwan presidential election day nears, Lianhe Zaobao journalist Miao Zong-Han takes a look at the three presidential hopefuls, their stances and how the voters are responding. Meanwhile, cross-strait tensions will be high even after the election results, as major powers will attempt to influence the content of the new president’s inaugural address.
Politics
Democratic Progressive Party presidential candidate William Lai may not have the trust of the US or mainland China when it comes to cross-strait relations, says East Asian Institute senior research fellow Qi Dongtao. Hence, China and the US would do well to work together to ensure that there is no repeat of a threat of a movement torwards a radical Taiwan independence that was seen during the Chen Shui-bian administration.
Politics
Professor Walter Woon says that Singapore’s close relationship with both the West and China gives it a unique advantage as a more neutral interpreter of China for the Western world. The country is also well-placed to help reduce tensions between the US and China.
Politics
Despite an amicable summit between Presidents Joe Biden and Xi Jinping in San Francisco recently, the essence of the US-China conflict of interest does not change, says US academic Robert Ross. This means that the outlook for US-China relations in the new year remains paved with difficulties, as both powers continue to joust in a battle to win.
Politics
The Cairo Declaration issued 80 years ago became the basis of several international law documents and was backed by substantive procedures for the implementation of the related international laws. Academic Wang Weinan believes that the declaration carries a historical significance that should be considered even today amid the Taiwan issue.
Politics
As the Taiwan presidential election heats up in the final month, commentator Gu Erde takes a look at the election narratives surrounding the three parties in the contest, in particular garnering the youth votes, the Taiwan Strait issue and Taiwan’s relations with China and the US.
Politics
US academic Zhu Zhiqun notes that while it seems that the US is worried about the DPP's William Lai winning the elections, a DPP win might aid the US's implementation of its Indo-Pacific policies. In that light, academics and officials offering advice on how Lai should act if he wins the election can be seen as helping to ensure that the direction of the current Tsai administration would be continued, as it best fits US interests.