Debris is pictured next to a damaged Buddha statue following fighting between Myanmar's military and the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) in Nam Hpat Kar, Kutkai township, in Myanmar's northern Shan State, on 4 February 2024. (AFP)

How China and India are handling Myanmar's crisis three years on

In the three years since the coup in Myanmar, the country’s northern border with China has become an economic and strategic challenge to Beijing’s interests, while India is faced with the biggest humanitarian and security crisis, with refugees entering India posing an immediate security challenge.
 (From L to R) President of Brazil Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, President of China Xi Jinping, South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi and Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov pose for a BRICS family photo during the 2023 BRICS Summit at the Sandton Convention Centre in Johannesburg on 23 August 2023.

India and China’s volatile new status quo

Sino-Indian relations have languished in a state of suspended animation for four years. A return to stability in the relationship would require, at the least, sustained high-level engagement.
Maldivian President Mohamed Muizzu (centre) leaves his inauguration ceremony in Male on 17 November 2023. (Ishara S. Kodikara/AFP)

Ripples in Maldives-India relations: The China factor

Mohamed Muizzu, the newly elected president of the Maldives, seems to be pivoting away from India and moving closer to other sources of support, such as the Arab countries and China. With a wary eye on China's ambitions in the Indian Ocean, India is expected to push back strongly.
Supporters of Islami Andolan Bangladesh party attend a protest rally demanding to abolish what they call a "dummy election" and to reorganise a free and fair election under the caretaker government, in Dhaka, Bangladesh, on 9 January 2024. (Mohammad Ponir Hossain/Reuters)

China and India unfazed by Bangladesh's one-sided elections

Bangladesh’s ruling government led by Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina was easily returned to power on 7 January. While the US has often criticised Bangladesh's elections as not being free and fair, its close neighbours China and India seem prepared to focus on Bangladesh’s strategic value in increasing their regional influence.
People walk past a mural of a dragon in Beijing, China, on 30 December 2023. (Jade Gao/AFP)

2024 will be about Western economic normalisation, China’s deceleration and India’s catch-up

Economist Alicia García Herrero gives an overview of the global economic outlook in 2024, highlighting that gains in real income, among other factors, should help with the soft landing in the US while the eurozone should grow faster than the year before, having left the energy crisis aside. China will continue to decelerate slowly but steadily while the rest of emerging Asia will do well.
India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi (left) talks to Indonesia's President Joko Widodo (right) prior to a photo session during the 20th ASEAN-India Summit as part of the 43rd ASEAN Summit in Jakarta on 7 September 2023. (Adek Berry/Pool via Reuters)

India’s expanding global influence has limited reach in ASEAN

India is seizing strategic opportunities to emerge as a new global power, but its influence in Southeast Asia is not keenly felt yet. Recent diplomatic accolades that India has achieved with ASEAN, appear to hold more significance in form than in substance. India’s lagging influence in Southeast Asia is also closely associated with its limited economic engagement and protectionist policies towards the region.
Maldives' President-elect Mohamed Muizzu (centre) of the People's National Congress (PNC) party delivers a speech during a gathering with supporters following the country's presidential election, in Male on 2 October 2023. (Mohamed Afrah/AFP)

Chinese academic: Will the new Maldives government shift from ‘India first’ to pro-China?

Following the recently concluded presidential election in the Maldives, the global community is observing how its foreign policy might change, particularly vis-a-vis India and China. Does having good relations with one side necessarily come at the expense of relations with the other? Chinese academic Guo Bingyun looks into the issue.
People's National Congress (PNC) candidate Mohamed Muizzu speaks during a press conference in Male on 30 September 2023. (Mohamed Afrah/AFP)

Presidential elections in the Maldives: Anti-India campaign, pro-China results?

While Mohamed Muizzu, largely seen as a pro-China candidate, emerged the winner in the Maldives’ recent presidential elections, this may not mean that all is lost for India, says academic Rishi Gupta.
A demonstrator uses a microphone as others hold flags and signs as they protest outside India's consulate, a week after Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau raised the prospect of New Delhi's involvement in the murder of Sikh separatist leader Hardeep Singh Nijjar, in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, 25 September 2023. (Jennifer Gauthier/Reuters)

Strained alliances: India-Canada diplomatic row

Allegations by Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau of Indian government involvement in the killing of a Canadian citizen who was a Khalistan separatist have soured Canada-India relations. China is watching from the sidelines to see if this will have an impact on the West's relations with India, but common interests may mean that bonds may be tested but not easily broken, says Indian academic Rishi Gupta.