Toshiya Tsugami

Researcher; Adjunct Fellow, Japan Institute of International Affairs

Toshiya Tsugami is a China researcher, head of the consultancy Tsugami Workshop, and an adjunct fellow for the Japan Institute of International Affairs. He entered the Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI, currently Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry) in 1980, and has served as a counsellor in the economic division of Japan’s embassy in Beijing, chief of the Northeast Asia Department of MITI’s Trade Policy Bureau, and senior researcher at the Research Institute of Economy, Trade, and Industry. 

Pedestrians pass fencing surrounding a residential neighborhood placed under lockdown due to Covid-19 in Shanghai, China, on 6 July 2022. (Qilai Shen/Bloomberg)

Japanese researcher: China's zero-Covid policy and prospects for the Chinese economy

The impact of the Shanghai lockdown is far-reaching, not least the way it is weakening Chinese exports and consumption, which have helped China weather the economic storm thus far, says Japanese researcher Toshiya Tsugami. This is having ripple effects on global supply chains and may further debilitate them before they have a chance to normalise. To stave off a severe economic crisis, China must deal with three pressing issues.