Toshiya Tsugami
Researcher; Adjunct Fellow, Japan Institute of International AffairsArticles by Toshiya Tsugami
Economy
The future of the US-China tariff war
Following the punitive tariffs between the US and China, a truce was reached in Geneva in May. However, how will things pan out, and what might be the end result? Japanese academic Toshiya Tsugami takes us through the possible developments.
Toshiya Tsugami
09 Jun 2025
Economy
Xi Jinping's conundrum fixing the Chinese economy
Japanese academic Toshiya Tsugami notes that even as China's economy is facing a difficult time, the Chinese government's efforts to prevent the bubble from bursting might in fact be having the opposite effect in the long run, and the more important thing is to fix structural problems.
Toshiya Tsugami
16 Apr 2024
Economy
How changes in China's investment environment will impact the world
Japanese academic Toshiya Tsugami analyses China's recent trade and investment flows amid US-China rivalry, highlighting the EV and semiconductor sectors which have become key battlegrounds in the competition between China and the West. How will development plans for the Chinese market and the global business environment be affected?
Toshiya Tsugami
23 Nov 2023
Economy
Will the BRI's future be impacted by the slowing Chinese economy?
Japanese academic Toshiya Tsugami notes that while China's economy is likely to fall into medium- to long-term stagnation, its outward investments and financing through the Belt and Road Initiative may not be immediately affected. However, other factors may have a ripple effect on China's ability to maintain the momentum of the BRI.
Toshiya Tsugami
25 Sep 2023
Economy
Why the 20th Party Congress was not a 'decisive victory' for Xi
Japanese researcher Toshiya Tsugami observes that the exuberant tone of China's previous Party Congress reports has been carried over in this year's 20th Party Congress. However, the external environment has changed much for China and its targets could be a stretch in this context.
Toshiya Tsugami
29 Nov 2022
Economy
Japanese researcher: China's zero-Covid policy and prospects for the Chinese economy
The impact of the Shanghai lockdown is far-reaching, not least the way it is weakening Chinese exports and consumption, which have helped China weather the economic storm thus far, says Japanese researcher Toshiya Tsugami. This is having ripple effects on global supply chains and may further debilitate them before they have a chance to normalise. To stave off a severe economic crisis, China must deal with three pressing issues.
Toshiya Tsugami
07 Jul 2022