Chen Long
Co-Founder, PlenumArticles by Chen Long
Economy
Decline in FDI may not mean investment flight from China
While the narrative of de-risking and reshoring is popular in the media, there is little evidence that firms have left or are leaving China en masse, says China research analyst Chen Long. The decline of FDI could be due to the simple fact that China's interest rates are now much lower than those in most developed countries, thus making more sense for some foreign firms to move their retained earnings back home. That said, alarm bells should ring in Beijing, as efforts to stabilise foreign investment have yet to succeed.
Chen Long
Economy
Beijing unrattled despite weak Q2
While China's housing market and exports are down, its consumption figures look to be improving and there are bright spots in the renewable energy and semiconductor sectors, says China research analyst Chen Long. A huge stimulus is unlikely to be in the offing, as Beijing still seems convinced that a more organic rebound, while slow and gradual, is better than a quick, policy-driven one.
Chen Long
Economy
China's economy is bound to recover in 2023
China research analyst Chen Long gives a positive assessment of China's economic prospects in 2023, pointing out that the swift U-turn on Covid policies may wreak havoc in the short-term, but be the catalyst to drive economic growth in the Year of the Rabbit. Variables are looking favourable, with the consumer spending and housing sector showing potential, and government policies going in the right direction.
Chen Long