Articles by Loro Horta

The great powers' revived interest in the moon

For mineral resources as well as various military and strategic reasons, the great powers of the world are reviving their interest in the moon. While US-China competition is strong, one should not forget that the US is actually the only country capable of establishing bases on the moon and putting its flag on large swathes of the moon in the next decade.

Loro Horta

05 Sep 2023

Looking in the wrong direction: US Navy's superior strike capability does not ensure victory

Although the US Navy's aircraft carrier fleet dwarfs that of China in quantity, quality and combat experience, the closer the US fleet gets to the Chinese coast the more vulnerable it becomes.

Loro Horta

10 Aug 2023

What a weakened Russia would mean for China

It seems that the longer the war in Ukraine drags on, the more dependent Russia will be on China. After more than three centuries of Russia-China relations, it seems that the situation is coming full circle and Russia is becoming increasingly subordinate to China.

Loro Horta

21 Oct 2022

[Party and the man] Xi Jinping faces biggest challenges in decades

While Chinese President Xi Jinping is likely to secure a third term at the 20th Party Congress, Loro Horta recalls the saying that one should "be careful what you wish for". The road ahead in his third term looks to be fraught with challenges, both domestically and externally. This is the first in a series of four articles on President Xi Jinping and the road ahead.

Loro Horta

27 Sep 2022

The PLA's political role: The party still, and must always control the gun

While the Chinese government has paid more attention to the navy and air force contingents of the People's Liberation Army in recent times, it is still the land forces that have the most political influence. The party is well aware that it is the latter's might they would need in the event of internal uprisings and it is this constituent's loyalty and strength they must ensure.

Loro Horta

21 Jul 2022

China's third aircraft carrier: No need to panic just yet

China's third aircraft carrier is not yet nuclear-powered and won't be battle-ready for some years yet. Besides, in terms of possible warfare, it's the numerous surface combatants China possesses that the US should be worried about, says Loro Horta. But with every iteration of China's aircraft carrier, its ambitions of eventually taking on the US in the open Pacific is increasingly clear.

Loro Horta

05 Jul 2022

Solomon Islands: Will China pick up the gun to defend its interests in the developing world?

Loro Horta notes that the US, Australia and New Zealand have been overly fixated on China possibly building a military base in the Solomon Islands. If anything, the security pact signals China's greater willingness to be more interventionist in its approach to other countries. If so, this is the true shift in policy that the West should be worried about.

Loro Horta

04 May 2022

Funding wars between China and the West: The politics of bankrolling developing countries

While several alternatives to China's Belt and Road Initiative have sprung up, such as the G7's Build Back Better World and the EU's Global Gateway, developing countries are not exactly facing a buffet spread of options, as each avenue comes with strings attached. Only time will tell if China will turn out to be a more benevolent lender and if the new Cold War will bring better spoils for developing countries.

Loro Horta

22 Feb 2022

US-China competition in the UAE: A tussle in the desert

Unlike the Soviet Union, China has an arsenal of economic tools at its disposal in wooing US allies. This is plainly seen in the UAE-China relationship, in which bilateral trade in 2021 was more than double that of UAE-US trade for the same period. Security and defence ties are also strengthening. As dictated by the laws of the free market, the one who offers the best deal wins. As such, the US will have to do better than just rely on coercive tactics.

Loro Horta

24 Jan 2022

Beyond a hypersonic missile: China's larger objectives

Amid recent reports of China testing a nuclear-capable hypersonic missile, Loro Horta says that gaining a tactical operational advantage is not an objective in itself. Rather, it is a tool with which a great power accomplishes its strategic objectives. What are China's strategic and political objectives in acquiring these capabilities and will we see another nuclear arms race?

Loro Horta

06 Dec 2021

Between a rock and a hard place: Mongolia's ambivalent relations with China

Sandwiched between Russia to the north and China to the south, landlocked Mongolia has always had tough choices to make in its foreign policy strategies. Towards China, which it used to be a part of and continues to share kinship ties with the autonomous region of Inner Mongolia, it harbours historical suspicion. But with China being its top export destination and key investment partner, the head may rule the heart.

Loro Horta

24 Nov 2021

China's alliance with Russia is solidifying

Even though several analyses have it that the China-Russia relationship is filled with underlying tensions and can break without warning, Loro Horta believes that the alliance they have can stand the test of time, given a mutual dependency for resources as well as common geopolitical interests and threat perceptions. Instead of warning Russia about China, Washington may want to worry more about the state of its own alliances.

Loro Horta

03 Nov 2021