Genevieve Donnellon-May
Asia-Pacific Analyst, The Red LineArticles by Genevieve Donnellon-May
Economy
Deflation: Beijing’s blind spot or its strategy?
China’s deflation reflects both weak demand and deliberate industrial strategy. But the model depends on consumption eventually catching up, raising questions over sustainability and regional spillovers for Southeast Asia. Researcher Genevieve Donnellon-May explains.
Genevieve Donnellon-May
18 May 2026
Economy
China’s seed war for food security and supply chains
China is turning seeds into a strategic frontier — balancing domestic food security needs with global ambitions in agricultural supply chains, biotech dominance and the geopolitics of food production. Researcher Genevieve Donnellon-May explains.
Genevieve Donnellon-May
27 Apr 2026
Economy
China leads Northeast Asia’s nuclear buildout
Is Northeast Asia’s nuclear revival a response to the Iran war crisis, or the result of deeper forces already reshaping the region’s energy future? Australian researcher Genevieve Donnellon-May ponders the question.
Genevieve Donnellon-May
16 Apr 2026
Economy
Transition under constraint: China’s energy strategy in an era of geopolitical risk
China reaffirmed that it would increase the share of non-fossil fuels in its energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions per unit of GDP under its 15th Five-Year Plan. Achieving this would require a carefully managed transition. Australian researcher Genevieve Donnellon-May assesses how China is striking a delicate balance between decarbonisation, economic growth and energy security.
Genevieve Donnellon-May
07 Apr 2026
Technology
From moonshots to market share: China’s Space+ strategy
China is unifying its space activities into a unified national ecosystem as it moves beyond mission-specific exploration to industrialisation and ecosystem building. Australian researcher Genevieve Donnellon-May explains how economic pursuits align with the strategic shift in how China views its role in the global space order.
Genevieve Donnellon-May
17 Mar 2026
Politics
Post-election Bangladesh: How China prepared while India lost ground
Facing Bangladesh under newly installed Prime Minister Tarique Rahman, India finds itself in greater diplomatic uncertainty while China sees it as more of a political adjustment rather than strategic disruption. Singapore-based Indian researcher Amit Ranjan and Australian researcher Genevieve Donnellon-May analyse the situation.
Amit Ranjan, Genevieve Donnellon-May
26 Feb 2026
Society
China’s population turn: The start of long-term decline?
China’s latest population statistics show a fourth consecutive year in decline, with births falling to 7.92 million in 2025. A shrinking, ageing workforce is likely to constrain economic growth, but on the flipside, could a smaller population have its benefits? Researcher Genevieve Donnellon-May looks at both sides of the coin.
Genevieve Donnellon-May
24 Feb 2026
Economy
How agriculture anchors Vietnam-China ties
While Vietnam-China agricultural trade has shown great potential, buttressed by regional economic frameworks, issues such as regulatory frictions, trade imbalances and geopolitical risks may get in the way. Researcher Genevieve Donnellon-May explains.
Genevieve Donnellon-May
13 Jan 2026
Economy
The US-China soybean comeback that could reshape global markets
How can a single handshake in Busan reshape global soybean flows, US farm politics and China’s food security strategy all at once? Researcher Genevieve Donnellon-May analyses the implications and challenges to the latest US–China deal on soybeans trade.
Genevieve Donnellon-May
17 Dec 2025
Politics
When Chinese mining meets weak governance in Africa — who pays?
The Lubumbashi dam collapse exposes the human and environmental toll of Chinese mining in Africa. Weak oversight leaves communities and forests at risk — a warning spotlighted at COP30. Researcher Genevieve Donnellon-May unpacks the stakes.
Genevieve Donnellon-May
08 Dec 2025
Economy
Simandou: The African mine that could shake Australia and reshape China’s rise
Guinea’s Simandou complex, the largest iron-ore mine in history, is now operational, set to reshape global trade and industrial supply chains. The long-delayed project could shift China-Africa economic ties, challenge Australia’s mining dominance and draw Washington’s strategic attention, observes researcher Genevieve Donnellon-May.
Genevieve Donnellon-May
02 Dec 2025
Economy
ACFTA 3.0: The China-ASEAN deal that could shake US influence?
China’s upgraded trade pact with ASEAN promises deeper markets and tech ties, but rising regional dependence, local pushback and ongoing US-China rivalry could test the limits of its benefits, says researcher Genevieve Donnellon-May.
Genevieve Donnellon-May
18 Nov 2025